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As our principal source of food, fibre & feedstocks, the agricultural sector, faces increasing challenges. With the current global recession, public funding austerity, the new European Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) for the period 2014-2020 has undergone some changes but overall the current policies are not sustaining nor measuring the state of real incomes in the agricultural communities in an effective manner.

The current CAP is not fully adapted to the specific current accession country agricultural sector needs. The European Union is faced with the challenge of using public financial resources more effectively both in the agricultural sectors of member states of the European Union as well as in its pre-accession programmes and international aid efforts in low income countries whose agricultural sectors are mainly subsistence and semi-subsistence farms.

AgroInfoSys is reviewing how advancing information technologies and techniques can contribute to higher performance Agricultural Information Systems to support more effective decision analysis and enhanced performance in the supply chains of the EU and accession countries as well as in low income regions such as ACP countries.

AgroInfoSys.eu provides summaries of a range of core topics of importance to agricultural policy and project cycle management.

AgroInfoSys.eu was created in 2011 by the George Boole Foundation and SEEL-Systems Engineering Economics Lab as an extension service to disseminate up-to-date information on best practices for the management of:
  • crop and animal production
  • resource allocation to production at farm level
  • supply chains
  • agricultural sector policy decision analysis
  • agricultural sector operational frameworks for the dissemination of innovations for economic growth
  • agricultural sector research, dissemination and production investment project cycle management

As co-ordinator of this site I welcome queries from readers. I have worked in agricultural development for almost 50 years in developed, underdeveloped and transition economies. This is a fascinating and complex topic where there is still much to learn and even more to be applied to the benefit of the rural constituencies worldwide.

As an extension service to agricultural practitioners we welcome queries and feedback. Please send any queries and feedback directly to me on:

hector.mcneill@boolean.org.uk

Hector W. McNeill
Co-ordinator
SEEL-Systems Engineering Economics Lab
Portsmouth



We monitor, analyse and develop best practice in the methods of determining agricultural sector quantitative gap analysis based on participatory methods to identify agricultural constituency needs. We provide guidance on methods of identify policy options and instruments and to manage the policy cycle including monitoring and evaluation and end of production/policy cycle diagnostic assessments.

The management of the policy cycle requires a disciplined application of robust quantitative methods applied within a decision analysis framework making use of deterministic (cause and effect) relationship models based on high quality information and objective assessments of the likelihood of events based on statistical evidence/experience.

Decision analysis model effectiveness depends upon the collection of accurate representative data on production performance which provides a basis for quantifying technical, economic and financial benchmarks against which to determine:
  • performance gaps
  • the benefits of closing performance gaps
  • the costs of closing performance gaps
  • the likely time required to close gaps
The data intensity of the appropriate quantitative methods requires the support of effective information systems such as procedure prototyping and modeling. We provide information on appropriate information systems for the administration of policies and support through prototyping platforms for the simulation of outcomes of different policy options using optimization and risk analysis techniques such as linear programming and Monte Carlo simulation using server side ECMAScript1.


1  ECMAScript is the international standard for JavaScript (standard no 262 at ECMA and ISO/IEC standard no 16262). The leading ECMAScript extension for server side design & implementation is DScript™. For further information on server side ECMAScripting visit Power-ECMAScripting.com

The Decision Analysis Initiative 2010-2015 & 2015-2020
George Boole Foundation